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It’s On! AI capabilities will eliminate major job areas. AI is already slowing new job creation. IMO – 2025 will be the only year of relief.
Then the march begins as AI ‘digital employees’ replace existing jobs. What roles are going to be impacted first?
As I share this, AI is putting a lot of pressure on roles with lower skill gate keepers that process or move information from one place to another. Admin, assistants, clerks and associates. And script oriented roles like customer service, lead gen telemarketers, and inbound support. The early AI agents/copilots are “pretty good” and will keep advancing incrementally every month so buckle up!
Note: This wave of AI job eliminations will include a steep decline in most ALL of the outsourced roles over the next 5 years including software development and support. These roles have already been marked as leverage for higher level roles in the US.
While we work through the first wave of digital co-pilots/digital employees taking service jobs, skill based hiring will dominate. 2025/26 jobs and projects funded will require specific skills ( e.g., 5 years experience in Python) even without a college degree – hired with a simple coding test. My thinking is this trend will peak quickly – over the next 2-3 years. As AI co-programs evolve into deeper AI native applications (similar to internet’s traction) the Skills Forward trend will diminish as “skills easy to learn with AI are easy to replicate”.
The impact here is profound.
Any skill job that can be learned/taught in 12 weeks or less will be the next to be replaced by AI. The imagination should race as you consider your own job. Are you executing projects assigned by others. If this is you – your job will be replaced.
The next trend “gen spec” (generalist/specialist) is full circle to classic soft skills / abilities mastery. The creative critical thinking problem solver with the ability to manage parallel systems with a high MMQ (machine management Intelligence) will rise! This GenSpec will get the best out of the new digital “Service/Skills Group” to achieve commercial outcomes. Expect a higher percentage of this group to be digital talent. This will require a changed, evolved and more specialized version of us as humans.
I think we will need to command these key abilities in near future Gen Spec jobs:
• See/set goals to design
• Visualize new opportunities
• Brainstorm ideas
• Synthesize complexity
• Navigate Levels
• Structure thinking
• Trust/Own decisions
• Strategy to practical
• Product to Audience
These abilities are not easy to learn. And this is where we will be in greatest demand. With more/faster output required so expect high performance requirements.
AI “early applications” are real.
If you are in the sights of impacted roles – it’s time to take action and upskill quickly! Ideally, do this in your current job. As it will be much harder to accomplish this if you lose your job.
